all are doing well. Crazy that it is already Memorial Day Weekend and as I sit here and type to you, I thought it prudent to do a moisture check in and see where we are headed for the summer. So, let’s dig in…

Rainfall Anomaly for The Past 30 Days

Some of those anomalies are a little misleading, since the lionshare of the rain that fell in New Mexico and West Texas took place with one storm early in the month. Areas farther east did better over the entire period. There are also still some dry spots, as this pattern hasn’t been favorable for everyone.

Total Rainfall for The Past 30 Days

For a different perspective, you can see how much total rain we’ve received. Areas along the Red River have certainly been a localized bullseye. The wet have stayed wet…

Latest Drought Monitor

Latest Soil Moisture

I do think that over the next couple of weeks, the south half of Texas and areas that do need rain will get some. This would be a great boost as we head into summer…

The general forecast theme this summer is likely to be one of warmer than average temperatures and with drier than average conditions expected for many areas. However, as of right now, the core of some of the driest weather will likely be focused across far north/northwest Texas and northward. Areas farther south may do better…

EURO Seasonal Model Precipitation Anomaly Forecast June/July/August

EURO Seasonal Model Temperature Anomaly Forecast June/July/August

While temperatures also look warmer than average for many areas this summer, it still looks like the core of those warmest anomalies will mainly be focused north of Texas. Bottomline, wherever the core of the driest weather is situated, that is where the core of the warmest temperatures will reside. As of right now, parts of the central/northern Plains and western Corn Belt is the focus. We’ll see if that changes next month…